“Amoateng Gut Check” approach to forecasting exchange rate using standard parity relationships

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Kofi A. Amoateng


This pedagogical paper demonstrates how “the Gut check approach” uses a made-simple technique for international corporate finance and economics students to forecast exchange rates using parity relationships. The “Gut-check approach” uses two simple steps. First, check out if the spot exchange rate is either direct or indirect. Second, review the parity relationships (purchasing power parity or interest rate parity) for the two currencies in question to find out which currency appreciate or depreciates. To this end, the paper provides historical review of the standard technique by many textbook authors. The “Amoateng Gut-check technique” yields similar but more precise foreign exchange rate forecasting results than the standard approach. Moreover, it provides international corporate finance and economics students who may not recognize foreign and home countries an easy way of exchange rate forecast.


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How to Cite
Amoateng, K. A. (2018). “Amoateng Gut Check” approach to forecasting exchange rate using standard parity relationships. International Journal for Innovation Education and Research, 6(6), 01-06. https://doi.org/10.31686/ijier.Vol6.Iss6.1029
Author Biography

Kofi A. Amoateng, N. C. Central University, USA

Professor of Finance, School of Business


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